Indian Economy To More Than Double To $5 Tn In Few Years: Fm Business
Osaka: The Indian economy will more than double to USD 5 trillion in a matter of few years as the government steps on its reforms agenda to accelerate growth, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said on Thursday.
The reforms will not just help India retain the fastest growing large economy tag but also help it move towards becoming a more developed economy, he said.
With India's GDP poised to grow at a much faster pace, for every few years we are going to add USD 1 trillion to our economy. We are currently USD 2 trillion economy. It's only a matter of few years that we will jump from USD 2 to 3 to 5 trillion which only indicates the kind of expansion which the economy is going to take place, he said.
Speaking at the India Investment Promotion Seminar organised by CII and DIPP, he said it is easier to grow when the world is growing at a faster pace.
But when the global environment is unsupportive and at times obstructive, where shrinkage of trade is taking place, that is the real test because they say when the going is good everybody is at best. When the going is challenging then to defy the odds, and counter the trends is a real challenge, he said.
Stating that India has received the distinction of being the fastest growing economy is last two years when global growth was slow, he said trends have shown that consumer spending and urban demand have moved up and slowly rural demand also is struggling up.
This in turn will have a spiral effect in coming years on India's private sector which also has been waiting for opportune moment to become a little more aggressive, he said.
Earlier, delivering a lecture at the Osaka University here, he said for India to realise its full potential for the next few decades, it needs to pursue its programme for economic growth more vigorously.
Notwithstanding an unsupportive global environment, India clocked a GDP growth of 7.9 per cent in the January-March quarter and 7.6 per cent for the entire 2015-16 fiscal on account of the government's pro-growth policies, he said.
Jaitley further said: India will maintain this paramount position of fastest growing economy in the world. And if we did that we can present ourself as a society which evolves from an emerging economy and moves towards a more developed economy.
And we have a pipeline of reforms still left over the next few years to be implemented and notwithstanding global slowdown and two years of bad monsoon, we have reached a situation where we still have the highest growth rate in the world, he said.
On the outlook ahead, Jaitley said he wasn't sure if the world growth would be supportive, but monsoon rainfall in India this year promises to be better and that itself will push growth. Our reform process, I am confident, is going to continue.
It had helped us in restoring the credibility of the economy and while restoring the credibility both domestic and international investors feel much more confident about investing in India. That has helped us, he said.
Jaitley, who arrived here on the second-leg of his six-day investor-wooing trip to Japan, said he has seen enthusiasm during his visit and various pension and sovereign funds as well as investors are very seriously looking at India as a possible destination. We offer them much better returns and hopefully a combination of these factors are increasing domestic demand, he said.
High growth and a movement towards a more developed economy will help India get rid of social inequalities that still exist, Jaitley added. And finally, we can prove to the world that democracy and the economic growth in a country, which historically suffered poverty, can co-exist.
You can stabilise your democracy and you can economically grow..., he said. To scale higher growth rates, the private sector, which has been a little slow, needs to get into a greater momentum, he said.
The Finance Minister further said that if the world economy starts growing at 4-5 per cent then India can clock over 9 per cent growth. But today we have a situation where the world growth itself has been downgraded to 3.9 per cent and therefore in this midst of global slowdown, where the environment is completely unsupportive, to maintain very high growth rates with an unsupportive global environment is difficult.
It is difficult because the economies across the world start shrinking, trade starts shrinking. No economy can say I have remained immune from that. Japan and Europe have felt the impact of that, he said.
India, he said, has opened up its markets and stepped up public investment including in the infrastructure space and is concentrating a lot on boosting expenditure to improve the quality of rural life.
Also, the government is making it easer to do business in the country.
"We are trying to rationalise the tax structure gradually. We are trying immune the banking system as well as rationalise subsidies. We have made permission granting and exit from businesses much easier," he added.